Oscar Predictions

I should start off by admitting that I did not see all of the movies or performances nominated for this year's Oscars. But I still think I'm entitled to my opinion. I mean, I may not have seen "Mrs Henderson Presents" but I can guarantee it's the type of movie I would hate and has been made multiple times with the same performances. Hence, I will not vote for anyone with any connection to that movie. So with all that I present my Oscar predictions.

Best Picture

I base everything here on the following question - in 5, 10, 15+ years, which movie will be most remembered and most important. It's a travesty that "Dances with Wolves" won the best picture over "Goodfellas". One has become one of the most respected pictures of all time while the other is pretty much forgotten. So with all that, I will have to go with "Brokeback Mountain." While I haven't seen the movie, I'm guessing it's story will be thought of in the same light as a movie such as "In the Heat of the Night" 10 years from now. And while I really enjoyed "Good Night and Good Luck", I'm not sure how it will play 5 years from now. And I respect the performances in "Crash" but thought the story was a little too rushed. Since they didn't take their time, most of the dialogue seemed rather harsh and unrealistic (people don't react so dramatically without provocation).

Best Actor

Terrence Howard! Terrence Howard! Terrence Howard! I love "Hustle & Flow" and Terrence Howard was just unbelievable. Haven't seen "Capote" so I may be shorting Hoffmann, but I can't imagine his performance was as good as Howard's in "Hustle & Flow."

Best Actress

Given my bias, I automatically must exclude Keira Knightley and Judi Dence. Yeah, it was amazing that Reese Witherspoon had never sang before and did such a good job in "Walk the Line." But I had issues with her acting or rather the script which never really delved into the dark side of Johnny Cash. Oscar has already recognized roles similar to Charlize Theron, so by process of elimination I'm going with Felicity Huffmann.

Best Supporting Actor

I would like to give the nod to Terrence Howard for his work in "Crash" but he's sadly not nominated. Therefore, I want to recognize the acting in "Crash" by giving my vote to Matt Dillon.

Best Supporting Actress

I didn't see any of these movies so I don't have an informed opinion. But I really enjoy Catherine Keener's work so she gets my vote.

Best Director

In most instances I feel the Best Director Oscar should go to the Best Picture winner. This year I see no reason to deviate, so my vote goes to Ang Lee for "Brokeback Mountain."

So there you have my choices - we'll have to see in a few hours how it turns out.

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